Red Cross helpers lift a body bag containing the victim of a bomb blast from a train about one kilometer outside the main train station in Madrid, March 11, 2004. REUTERS: KAI PFAFFENBACH

Issues in Predicting and Forecasting Future Terrorist Warfare

By Dr. Joshua Sinai

The field of counter-terrorism studies requires new ways of thinking and methodologies to enable analysts and practitioners to predict and forecast new types of warfare and targeting likely to be employed by their adversary terrorist groups. This is important because analysts and decision-makers are always surprised when terrorist adversaries resort to new types of warfare in terms of operatives, tactics, weaponry, and targeting to launch attacks that were previously unfo...

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