SITREP 2nd Qtr 2022

Our monthly conflict tracker warns of four conflict risks and one conflict resolution opportunity this summer.

As North Korea continued its provocative missile launches, the U.S. and South Korea issued warnings about the possibility of a nuclear test in the coming weeks, which would be the country’s first since 2017 and seventh to date.Hostilities could further intensify and spread in Ukraine’s east as Russian forces seek to capture more towns and cities, fueling yet more displacement.Colombia’s tight presidential run-off pitting leftist candidate Gustavo Petro and conservative Rodolfo Hernández could fuel post-electoral violence following voting day in late June.The April truce agreed between Yemen’s warring parties largely held as Sanaa airport opened for its first commercial flight in six years. Yet, if the UN fails to extend the deal, set to expire this month, hostilities could resume.

CrisisWatch also highlights deteriorations in several countries last month.

Burkina Faso saw high levels of violence as jihadists killed over 50 people in one single attack and expanded hostilities into previously unaffected areas.Multi-day fighting erupted along the Eritrea-Ethiopia border between Eritrean troops and Tigray forces.Tensions rose in the Great Lakes region as DR Congo authorities designated the M23 armed group, which has recently reemerged in the country’s east, a terrorist organization and accused Rwanda of backing it.Anti-government protests in Tajikistan’s restiv...